Showing posts with label economic growth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economic growth. Show all posts

Saturday, December 8, 2012

Reading Economic Health into the Recent StatsCan Jobs Data is An Exercise in Fantasy

Reading Economic Health into the Recent StatsCan Jobs Data is An Exercise in Fantasy

Here’s the reality in that data:

1) As Derek Holt points out, there is no hours worked increase. That remains static. But it is hours worked that “drive incomes, not body count.” Holt speculates that the already employed are working fewer hours, and there is plenty of anecdotal evidence to suggest such a situation is probable.

2) The so-called new jobs have not increased labour productivity one iota. There is, in other words, no output growth, no real economic growth resulting from job increases.

3) All the job increases were in the low paying service sector, while jobs in both manufacturing and construction decreased significantly.

The Canadian economy under the weak neoliberal stewardship of the arrogant Harper Regime continues to stagnate, and, as a result, while the 1-10% continues to live well, the middle and working class suffer. A global economic implosion is on its way, and, given the average debt load of Canadians, we will be hit hard when that happens.

StatsCan:

Job Gains too Good to be true:

Friday, June 1, 2012

Banksters will be on a Desperate Prowl for the Rest of 2012

As I've suggested many times, the current global economic conditions were to be expected. We are in a static, no growth economy forever, the maximum growth hovering around 2%. for the foreseeable future.  I could live with that, but market-driven neoliberals couldn't, and they are the ones who, alas, control economic policy in the world. Europe, the U.S., and China in particular are all suffering serious economic woes, and the Canadian economy  grew by only 1.9% in the first quarter - much less than all the neoliberal, market-driven Canadian economists predicted -  including the Governor of the Bank of Canada and the Finance Minister. That meagre growth was driven by business development, not by consumers, who have pulled back on consumption while sinking into debt by another $454. per capita - just about the limit of debt load, reasonable or otherwise, for the average Canadian relative to income. The banksters will thus be on a desperate prowl for profit. Be prepared.

Sunday, April 29, 2012

J.K. Galbraith: Inequality and Instability


An analysis of the economic and political context prior to the initiation of the should-have-been-expected recession in 2008, in which the global community continues to find itself and will continue to do so for quite some time. A no growth, relative residual* global economy is the best we can expect until a full infrastructural move to sustainable local economies will be thrust upon us by the exigencies of our decreasing energy sources. No government and very few economists seem to have fully recognized the reality of a no growth overall global economy.

*By relative residual, I mean an unstable pattern of up one month, down the next, up in one region, down in another but with an overall effect of static growth. 


More at The Real News




More at The Real News



More at The Real News



More at The Real News

Monday, December 19, 2011

Unemployed people can't pay taxes, and they certainly curtail their spending

Like the good neoclassical economist he is, President Harper said on Friday that he and his bulldog want to indulge their pathological addiction to austerity and tackle that mean old junk yard federal budget when, in fact, we know that they should really be focusing on the job creation strategies we so desperately need. My last  few posts have painted a very bleak picture of the Canadian economy, and further austerity measures or implementing the ones in the works are only going to make things worse, draging out the recession/depression even longer.

There is only one reason to concentrate on reducing government debt at the expense of other economic inititatives, and that is to satisfy "markets" - that is,  to create investor confidence.  But we should always remember that the financial sector contributes next to nothing directly to real GDP.  And austerity in the cause of debt reduction does nothing directly for the real, industrial economy. In fact, it creates only more hardship for real people and the economy by, among other effects, increasing the number of people unemployed and by reducing correlated spending and tax revenue. Unemployed people can't pay taxes, and they certainly curtail their spending.

We need reasonable economic growth through job creation, through some kind of economic stimulus, infrastructure projects or otherwise, for without reasonable growth government revenues suffer, and that gap, in turn, increases the pressure for more austerity measures because the money simply isn't there.  It's a an economic whirlpool difficult to escape. But jobs fuel the economy because employed people spend money, and both they and the business which are recipients of their spending, who also spend as businesses,  pay taxes and thus increase government revenues, part of which can be used for paying down debt at at reasonable pace while maintaining government programs that service Canadians in general.

Not much chance of this kind of thinking in Harperland  given what's emerged for many as a disturbing psychoanalytic reading of Harper the man, whose resentful - sometime vengeful - personality is fully reflected, as Dan Gardner suggests,  in the way both parliament and the government in general are run. This is a regime in which, as someone suggested the other day, lying is not a moral issue but a political tactic and empirical evidence ("stastistics") is irrelevant.  We cannot expect truth from such a regime let alone a wise economic policy, the irony being of course that the Harperites presumably won their beloved majority on the basis of promising sound economic management. Hello! Read my last three or four posts.

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

System Change: Naomi Klein from Council of Canadians

Nothing Exposes the Failures of Our Economic System More than Climate Change, which is not merely an isolated, separate environmental issue, for the effects of climate change are in fact the direct result of our market based model of economic growth and all its various capitalist strategies for profit and exploitation including the most damaging - because transportation generates such massive CO2 emissions - global trade. One could say, as Prince Charles has recently (Humans at Risk of Extinction), capitalism as we know it is destroying the planet.